Reprocessing is insanely EXPENSIVE, mostly because of
a premature effort to rush new, untested technologies into
commercial use.
According to a nuclear
industry study, “Reprocessing …will not
be cost effective in the foreseeable future.” |
The Bottom Line
In 1996, the National Academies estimated the
cost of creating a reprocessing system that could dispose
of significant quantities of domestic nuclear waste. As the
Institute of Policy Studies summarized the National Academies
conclusion,
“[D]eployment and operation of
a system that would be extensive enough to have a significant
effect on the disposal of just domestic United States…spent
fuel could cost as much as 500 billion dollars, in 1992
dollars, and take some 150 years to implement. The cost
of such a plan would exceed $700 billion in 2007 dollars.
[Further,] the system envisioned in the 1996 National
Academies study was not as extensive as the administration’s
current plan for [reprocessing.]” MORE
at 17
Incremental Cost
It’s also interesting to look at just
the “incremental cost” of reprocessing, over
and above the cost of simply storing nuclear waste.
In a recent article in Scientific
American,
Princeton physicist Frank von Hippel discussed the National
Academies estimate of the incremental cost of reprocessing
62,000 tons of waste (the amount that will accumulate in
the U.S. by the end of this year):
“[The cost would be] ’no
less than $50 billion and easily could be over $100 billion’….
These numbers would have to be doubled to deal with the
entire amount of spent fuel that existing U.S. reactors
are expected to discharge during their lifetimes.” MORE
Thus, von Hippel estimates that the incremental
cost of reprocessing anticipated nuclear waste would be double
$50 to $100 billion, or $100 to $200 billion. Elsewhere von
Hippel notes that “U.S. nuclear utilities have made
it clear that these extra costs would have to be funded by
the federal government.” MORE
at 3.
“There is
no economic justification for going forward with this
program at anything approaching a commercial scale.” |
Note also that in 2007 the Director of the
Congressional Budget Office, a truly neutral party, gave
the following testimony on the incremental cost of reprocessing
before a Senate Committee:
“The cost of reprocessing would
be at least 25 percent greater than the cost of direct
disposal.” MORE at
3
“Fast Reactors” Cost Even More
Not only is reprocessing much more expensive
than direct disposal of nuclear waste; there is also a hefty
price tag for using reprocessed fuel. That’s because,
in order to use this fuel, we need to design and build a
whole new generation of “fast reactors.”
According to Princeton’s von Hippel in
Scientific American, fast reactors have “proved to
be much more costly to build and troublesome to operate than
expected.” MORE The
Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation notes that
the “United States, France,
Japan, Britain, and Germany all shut down fast reactors after
years of safety problems and cost overruns.” MORE
The Institute for Policy Studies elaborates:
“[Reprocessing] advocates conveniently
ignore the fact that the experience with fast reactors
is marked with failure. Over the past 50 years, at least
15 ‘fast’ reactors have been closed due to
costs and accidents in the U.S., France, Germany, England,
and Japan. There have been two fast reactor fuel meltdowns
in the United States, including a mishap near Detroit
in the 1960’s. Russia operates the remaining fast
reactor, but it has experienced 15 serious fires in 23
years.” MORE
Not surprisingly, it would cost a lot to get
these troublesome fast reactors to work properly. Princeton’s
von Hippel says that the U.S. would need to build 40 to 75
1,000 megawatt fast reactors to reprocess nuclear waste at
the rate it is currently being produced. Since developing
the fast reactors would cost $1 billion to $2 billion more
per reactor than current nuclear reactors, von Hippel estimates
that the total tab would be $40 billion to $150 billion,
in addition to the $144 to $290 billion incremental cost
of reprocessing fuel rather than disposing of it directly.
MORE
Note also that cost estimates for nuclear construction
are usually much lower than actual costs. The Institute for
Policy Studies points out that, of the 100 nuclear power
plants that exist in the U.S., the federal Department of
Energy has calculated that:
“the actual costs of 75 of the
currently operating nuclear power plants in the United
States were more than triple, in constant year dollars,
the estimated costs of the plants. The actual costs of
some individual plants were five or more times higher
than their estimated costs.” MORE at
33.
“No Economic Justification”
In 2007, the National Academies again addressed
the feasibility of reprocessing, noting that fast reactor
technology is still in the early stages of development. The
National Academies panel concluded that because “significant
technical problems remain to be solved,” none of the
technologies currently being proposed “is at a stage
of reliability and understanding that would justify commercial-scale
construction….” MORE
at 23.
The Institute for Policy Studies makes the
same point even more emphatically:
“[N]one of the necessary technologies
and processes have been shown to be technically feasible
and commercially viable at a medium or large scale and
most have not even been shown to be feasible at laboratory-scale.” MORE
As a result, the 2007 National Academies report
concluded:
“[T]here is no economic justification
for going forward with this program at anything approaching
a commercial scale.” MORE at
5.
Interestingly, the nuclear industry has reached
the same conclusion. A 2007 report by the Keystone Center,
underwritten by the industry’s lobbying body and various
utility companies, concluded that because “[a] reprocessing-based
fuel cycle system is many times more expensive than a once-through
fuel cycle system,”
“reprocessing of spent fuel will
not be cost effective in the foreseeable future.” MORE
at 82-3.
“Not surprisingly,” reports the
Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, “the
nuclear industry hasn’t committed any money to fund
reprocessing or to deploy fast neutron reactors.” MORE
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